Author Archives: Steve Hirschler
Market Condition Report for Big Bear Lake Area March 2012
Weeks Supply Given Demand is the Absorption Rate (the number of weeks required to exhaust supply given demand) measured in time. High rates signal excess units of supply relative to demand. Low rates signal the opposite. The Ratio of Supply to Demand measures the number of units of supply relative to the number of closings per month (demand) measured in units. All other things being equal, the smaller this number, the tighter the area market. Green formatting signals relatively tight markets in the area segment. Red formatting flags those areas where supply is too high relative to the current level of demand. This oversupply is usually resolved by price adjustment.
SHORT SALES: TOP 10 MYTHS DEBUNKED!
Myth #1: The homeowner must fall behind on mortgage payments in order to qualify for a short sale.
Debunked: Years ago this may have been true, but not in 2012.
- A financial hardship must exist, such as the ARM (Adjustable Rate Mortgage) increasing in monthly payments.
- Loss of job or income.
- Health or medical issues.
- Extraordinary loss in home value (which may be considered a hardship).
Note: Agents should not advise a homeowner to miss a mortgage payment.
Myth #2: Banks would rather foreclose on a property than approve a short sale.
Debunked: Many still believe this myth to be true, but more accurately, banks would prefer not to foreclose on a property due to the $50-70k it may cost the bank per transaction. Banks lose less money on a short sale than on a foreclosure.
Note: In California, some lenders may pay owners as much as $25,000 to opt for a short sale.
Myth #3: Homeowners must be pre-approved by their lender to be eligible for a short sale.
Debunked: Absolutely not true. By and large, most lenders will consider short sale offers. However, each lender may have unique and specific processes to follow, from listing the home to the acceptance of a short sale. Bypassing any part of this process may result the sale not closing, so be sure to follow each lenders’ processes closely.
Myth #4: Short sales never close.
Debunked: Obviously not true. In some areas of the U.S., nearly 50% of all closings are considered to be “distressed” properties, meaning REOs and short sales.
Myth #5: Short sales take months (and months) to close.
Debunked: The short sale processes must be learned. Once mastered, it may not be uncommon to close a short sale in 30 days. However, certain idiosyncrasies may slow the process and each lender presents their own unique set of specific challenges. No two short sale transactions are identical.
Myth #6: Damage to the homeowner’s credit standing is comparable in a short sale and a foreclosure.
Debunked: In many cases, credit repercussions and deficiency protections are more damaging with a foreclosure. Short sale transactions can often lead to faster financial recovery for the homeowner and should be carefully considered.
Note: If the homeowner missed no mortgage payments, they may be eligible to finance the purchase of a home immediately following a short sale transaction.
Myth #7: Following a short sale, the homeowner will be ineligible to purchase another property for the next 5-7 years.
Debunked: Not true. Using conventional lending guidelines, some consumers may obtain a Fannie Mae backed mortgage a short 24 months after the close of their short sale.
Myth #8: After a short sale transaction, the homeowner will receive a 1099 and be forced to declare the loss as income.
Debunked: The owner may indeed receive a 1099, but due to the 2007 Mortgage Forgiveness Debt Relief Act, among other considerations, the homeowner may not owe any taxes on their transaction.*
Note: This Act is due to expire at the end of 2012.
Myth #9: The lender will sue the homeowner after the close of a short sale (or foreclosure, or deed in lieu of foreclosure) for the deficiency.
Debunked: California has certain anti-deficiency protections in place for short sales and foreclosures, depending on the circumstances.*
Myth #10: As an agent, I don’t need additional training to learn all of the ins and outs of the short sale process. And if I wait long enough, the market will recover so I may not need to deal with short sales at all.
Debunked: How long are you willing to wait? Based on the most recent housing reports, home values are still falling. Hopefully, 2012 will see the bottom of the housing market but price recovery may continue to take some time.
Rates are Great, Check Out These Mortgage Rate History Charts


200 Year Mortgage Rate History
Thank you to Martha Moriarty-McKinley for providing these charts. If you are looking for a local lender to make a purchase, or refinance here in Big Bear Martha does a great job.
Foreclosure Trends for Big Bear Lake, CA 92315
92315 Foreclosure Trends
California Foreclosure Process

92315 Housing Data
Single Family 88 %
2-4 Units 4%
5+ Units 4%
Average Age 26.2
Owner-Occupied 63%
Median Rent $581
92315 DemographicsPopulationPopulation 5,362 Ages:0-18 22% 18-64 59% 65+19% Education AttainmentHigh School 25%
Some College 37% Bachelors 15% Graduate or Professional 7% |
IncomeMedian Household Income $34,537 Work / CommutingWorking 44 % |
Big Bear Market Condition Report
2006 Home in Baldwin Lake Priced Under $70,000
Short Sale Beauty
| Overview |
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Steve Hirschler
Coldwell Banker DRE# 01703081
(909) 725-5889 stevehirschler@gmail.com http://www.stevesellsbigbear.com Listed by: ColdwelL Banker / The Tim Wood Group |
| Our recent listings
Short Sale Beauty
Big Bear Home under 70k Gold Crown Hallmark Store Cabin in the Mountains Fawnskin Beauty
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Nearby properties for sale |

863 Homes Sold in the Big Bear Area MLS in 2011
The Big Bear Multiple Listing Service recorded 863 sales in 2011. Below is a breakdown showing chart showing how many units each price range contributed.

With 794 (92%) of the homes sold falling into the under $500,000 price range, and only 69 over $500,000 (8%), it is fair to say higher end sales are tough. The price range that is selling best is $100,000 – $200,000 with about 40% of the homes sold.
Sales of homes over 1 million are location driven. Of the 12 sales over $1 million in 2011, and 8 were on the lake, 3 in Castle Glen, and 1 in Moonridge.
Only one home in Big Bear City sold for over $560,000 last year, and that was 646 Cedar Glen in Meadowbrook Estates which closed at $900,000 in June.
Foreclosures made up 28% of the sales, while short sales were only 14%. Traditional residential sellers made up the remaining 58%.
312 (36%) of all of the sales were cash transactions.
Big Bear Area 10 Year Deed Recording History
We have seen a change in the past 2 years when looking at our deed recordings. Traditionally the highest number of recordings occur during the late summer and early fall months, but in the past 2 years the month of December has had the highest number of recordings.
We also have the lowest inventory of residential homes (569 units as of this morning) that we have had in over 5 years.
Currently in the Big Bear area we have 112 pending sales (escrows) and 39 active contingent short sales that are awaiting bank approval.
I believe prices will continue to soften for the next 12 months, but at a slower rate than what we have seen in the past 3 years.







